BELANJA DAERAH, PENDAPATAN ASLI DAERAH, DAN PENDUDUK SEBAGAI DETERMINAN PDRB KABUPATEN/KOTA DI BALI

I Made Putra Yasa Putra; Ni Made Adi Erawati; I Wayan Priyana Agus Sudharma

doi:10.59003/nhj.v6i2.2280

Authors

I Made Putra Yasa Putra Universitas Udayana
Ni Made Adi Erawati Universitas Udayana
I Wayan Priyana Agus Sudharma Universitas Udayana

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.59003/nhj.v6i2.2280

Keywords:

GDRP, regional expenditure, locally generated revenue, population, covid-19

Abstract

This study examines the effects of regional expenditure, locally generated revenue (PAD), population, and the COVID-19 period on gross regional domestic product (GRDP) in the nine regencies and city of Bali Province during 2016-2024. A balanced panel of 81 observations was estimated using a cross-section fixed-effect model. The results show that regional expenditure and population have positive and statistically significant associations with GRDP. PAD has a negative but insignificant coefficient, while the COVID-19 dummy is also negative and insignificant after regional heterogeneity is controlled. The findings indicate that fiscal expansion contributes to regional output when it is supported by implementation quality, productive allocation, and policies responsive to each region’s demographic and economic structure

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Ananta, B. M. E., & Erawati, N. M. A. (2025). The influence of PAD, DAU, and DBH on the allocation of capital expenditure in city districts in the Province of Bali in 2018-2021. Transekonomika: Akuntansi, Bisnis dan Keuangan, 5(1): 22-32. https://doi.org/10.55047/transekonomika.v5i1.811

Aschauer, D. A. (1989). Is public expenditure productive? Journal of Monetary Economics, 23(2): 177-200. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(89)90047-0

Auerbach, A. J., & Gorodnichenko, Y. (2013). Output spillovers from fiscal policy. American Economic Review, 103(3): 141-146. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.3.141

Barro, R. J. (1990). Government spending in a simple model of endogenous growth. Journal of Political Economy, 98(5, Part 2): S103-S125. https://doi.org/10.1086/261726

Blanchard, O., & Perotti, R. (2002). An empirical characterization of the dynamic effects of changes in government spending and taxes on output. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 117(4): 1329-1368. https://doi.org/10.1162/003355302320935043

Bose, N., Haque, M. E., & Osborn, D. R. (2007). Public expenditure and economic growth: A disaggregated analysis for developing countries. The Manchester School, 75(5): 533-556. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-9957.2007.01028.x

Brollo, F., Nannicini, T., Perotti, R., & Tabellini, G. (2013). The political resource curse. American Economic Review, 103(5): 1759-1796. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.103.5.1759

Brulhart, M., & Sbergami, F. (2009). Agglomeration and growth: Cross-country evidence. Journal of Urban Economics, 65(1): 48-63. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2008.08.003

Davoodi, H., & Zou, H.-F. (1998). Fiscal decentralization and economic growth: A cross-country study. Journal of Urban Economics, 43(2): 244-257. https://doi.org/10.1006/juec.1997.2042

Devarajan, S., Swaroop, V., & Zou, H.-F. (1996). The composition of public expenditure and economic growth. Journal of Monetary Economics, 37(2): 313-344. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-3932(96)90039-2

Easterly, W., & Rebelo, S. (1993). Fiscal policy and economic growth: An empirical investigation. Journal of Monetary Economics, 32(3): 417-458. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-3932(93)90025-B

Gadenne, L. (2017). Tax me, but spend wisely? Sources of public finance and government accountability. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 9(1): 274-314. https://doi.org/10.1257/app.20150509

Ghosh, S., & Gregoriou, A. (2008). The composition of government spending and growth: Is current or capital spending better? Oxford Economic Papers, 60(3): 484-516. https://doi.org/10.1093/oep/gpn005

Indrawati, S. M., Satriawan, E., & Abdurohman. (2024). Indonesia’s fiscal policy in the aftermath of the pandemic. Bulletin of Indonesian Economic Studies, 60(1): 1-33. https://doi.org/10.1080/00074918.2024.2335967

Kneller, R., Bleaney, M. F., & Gemmell, N. (1999). Fiscal policy and growth: Evidence from OECD countries. Journal of Public Economics, 74(2): 171-190. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(99)00022-5

Lewis, B. D. (2013). Local government capital spending in Indonesia: Impact of intergovernmental fiscal transfers. Public Budgeting & Finance, 33(1): 76-94. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-5850.2013.12002.x

Lin, J. Y., & Liu, Z. (2000). Fiscal decentralization and economic growth in China. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 49(1): 1-21. https://doi.org/10.1086/452488

Martinez-Vazquez, J., & McNab, R. M. (2003). Fiscal decentralization and economic growth. World Development, 31(9): 1597-1616. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0305-750X(03)00109-8

Rodriguez-Pose, A., & Ezcurra, R. (2011). Is fiscal decentralization harmful for economic growth? Evidence from OECD countries. Journal of Economic Geography, 11(4): 619-643. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbq025

Sanjaya, P. K. A., Mustika, M. D. S., Sudharma, I. W. A. P., & Sembiring, C. F. P. (2024). Bali tourism and economic transformation: Towards economic resilience after the COVID-19 pandemic. Conference paper. https://www.scribd.com/document/894694281/08-Sanjaya-BEFIC3-64-75

Setyari, N. P. W., Kiswanto, D., Haan, M. A. R., Purwanti, P. A. P., Suasih, N. N. R., Anandari, I. G. A. A. A., Yasa, I. M. P., & Mahaendrayasa, M. S. A. (2026). Fiscal governance and dynamics of budget execution timeliness: A Bayesian belief network assessment of economic growth. Journal of Governance and Regulation, 15(2): 481-492. https://doi.org/10.22495/jgrv15i2siart15

Yasa, I. M. P., & Mahaendrayasa, M. S. A. (2022). Faktor-faktor yang memengaruhi inflasi di wilayah Indonesia bagian barat. E-Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Universitas Udayana, 11(12): 4445-4463. https://doi.org/10.24843/EEP.2022.v11.i12.p15

Zhang, T., & Zou, H.-F. (1998). Fiscal decentralization, public spending, and economic growth in China. Journal of Public Economics, 67(2): 221-240. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0047-2727(97)00057-1